My name is Tony Heller (aka Steven Goddard). I’m a professional climate change denier and I use this blog to blow the whistle on deniers like myself and others.
I run this blog as public service for those interested in the climate change debate. This particular blog post is for the average layperson who isn’t heavy into science but still thinks there’s a chance that man-made climate change might not be happening. As a reforming climate change denier, I want to help convince you that climate change is real and that it’s a very big deal.
So are you ready? Let’s go.
The first thing we have to do is pre-screen you to determine if your brain has the requisite reasoning abilities. Please read over the following statements and determine which ones you agree with or apply to you:
- I have a “Live Free or Die” flag, piece of clothing, sticker or other item with this slogan on it (exception made for those with cars licensed in New Hampshire).
- I would need more evidence, but I believe it’s possible the moon landing was a hoax and/or 9/11 was an inside job.
- Sometimes I find myself nodding my head as soon as I hear the voice of Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh, or Judge Jeanine.
- I have purposefully sat down and watched or listened to an entire show with one of the aforementioned hosts.
- Government is inherently evil and free markets are the only solution to any and all of mankind’s problems.
- I worry there the United Nation’s socialist agenda will usurp power from my country.
- I have spoken or written the term “jack booted thugs” to describe the Obama administration or any of its agencies.
- I have attended a Sarah Palin or Donald Trump rally.
- The only way to stop a bad guy with a guns is to give everybody a gun.
- There is a major Rupert Murdoch news outlet in my country.
- I am an American.
OK, how’d you do? If you answered “yes” or found yourself agreeing with two or more of the statements above, I cannot guarantee with 100% certainty that you can be convinced that climate change is real. But you should continue anyway and see what happens. If you answered yes or agree with 3 or more statements above, you do not appear to have any logical capacity whatsoever. You might as well stop here. Sorry.
Oh, one more thing. If you are offended by any of the statements above, you are also disqualified for having absolutely no sense of humor.
Everyone else, step this way, please…
Phew! Congratulations you’ve passed the pre-screening. Ready to become a convert? You’re just a few paragraphs away. Let’s go!
So, there’s these network of thousands upon thousands scientists around the globe. You know what scientists are right? Yeah, a lot of them are probably the ones you wouldn’t have been caught dead with at the high school prom. Well, anyway, these scientists are super, super smart and highly educated. They love nothing better than to analyze shit to death. And nothing gets their rocks off more than discovering new truths about the universe and the world we live in. Doing statistical analysis for hours on end is their equivalent of binge TV watching.
Many of these scientists are devoted to studying the climate. Over many decades, they have deployed super-sophisticated technology to help them monitor, study and predict what’s happening to the earth’s environment. Every five years, an organization called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), established in 1988 and overseen by the United Nations, convenes to analyze and assess all the peer-reviewed scientific papers. The IPCC is set up specifically to look at the problem of climate change.
As you can imagine, it’s incredibly difficult to pull together all the studies and information that has been done. As you also might suspect, such an undertaking isn’t without its problems. Sometimes egos and politics can get involved and there’s arguments over who should be in on the process and which evidence is worth considering. But that’s to be expected. The IPCC is run by people not computers, after all. But by and large, the work gets done and done very well. The end result of all this work is a snapshot of the best available scientific knowledge about global warming called an Assessment Report (AR).
The fifth and most recent report from the IPCC, referred to as “AR5,” says we are 95% sure global warming is man-made and that we’re probably in a world of hurt if we don’t take action. You can read it yourself as much of it is written in fairly plain language.
So there you have it. You can now clear your brain about questions over whether climate change is real. You are now free to start worrying what to actually do about it.
Now some will argue that you shouldn’t believe “appeals to authority” like the IPCC reports. Well, yes you should believe the IPCC reports because the IPCC’s ultimate authority is data and the best scientific analysis of that data available. And at the end of the day, science is the ultimate authority we should all listen to because it is the absolute best approximation of reality we have.
Before you go, one last thing. When you start Googling around and doing your own research about global warming you’ll run into people like me with all kinds of crazy crackpot graphs, data and arguments that purport to show climate change is a hoax. You might be tempted to read some of it to try and figure out for yourself what our evidence is and if it has any weight. But don’t. I’m telling you it’s a total waste of time. You don’t spend hours upon hours analyzing the evidence from the 9/11 Truthers to prove them wrong, do you? Of course not. You know 9/11 Truthers are crackpots full of bizarre political conspiracies. Similarly, you don’t give every lunatic yelling in the park or on the street corner a fair hearing to determine if what they say is accurate, do you? It’s exactly the same thing with climate change. All you need to know is that the vast majority of the very, very smart and passionate climate scientists who study this issue for a living know almost beyond a shadow of a doubt that climate change is a very, very serious problem that we cannot afford to ignore.
If you still don’t believe climate change is a real threat and you passed our pre-screening, please indicate in the comments below the reasons why you are still in doubt so I can do a brief exit interview with you and make the proper adjustments to the pre-screening questionnaire that you somehow managed to slip past. Thank you!